Geneva · SF · Clay · best of 3 · May 22, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC

Alexander Bublik vs. Learner Tien — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 22, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Learner Tien won 6-1 4-6 7-6 · May 22, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 61% on Alexander Bublik; Learner Tien won 6-1 4-6 7-6.

Alexander Bublik and Learner Tien meet in the semifinal at Geneva on Friday. Alexander Bublik is 5-5 across recent matches. Learner Tien brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

The ledger favors Learner Tien, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Alexander Bublik. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Tien — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Bublik has been winning 77.4% of first-serve points to Tien's 69.3%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Bublik arrives with very little recovery time; Tien comes in off a compressed schedule. Bublik should have enough here, though Tien has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alexander Bublik

1724

Learner Tien

1756

Overall rating

Alexander Bublik

1868

Learner Tien

1942

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien
1st serve in	59.2%	61.9%
1st serve points won	77.4%	69.3%
2nd serve points won	45.1%	50%

Form

Alexander Bublik

5–5

Learner Tien

7–3

Head to head

Learner Tien leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 2-0 Learner Tien.

Full Bublik vs Tien history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Bublik vs Learner Tien at Geneva?: Learner Tien won 6-1 4-6 7-6.
Was the Alexander Bublik vs Learner Tien prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 61% on Alexander Bublik; Learner Tien won 6-1 4-6 7-6.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Bublik and Learner Tien?: Learner Tien leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 2-0 Learner Tien.