Tommy Paul won 6-4 3-6 6-7 6-1 6-3
Nailed it. We had Tommy Paul at 56% before the match, and Tommy Paul won 6-4 3-6 6-7 6-1 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexander Bublik goes up against Tommy Paul in the US Open round of 32. Tommy Paul comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Alexander Bublik is 7-3 across recent matches.
Tommy Paul simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Paul fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Bublik | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.6% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 77.7% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.6% | 51.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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