Alexander Ritschard won 6-1 6-4
A miss: Marco Trungelliti at 52% lost to Alexander Ritschard (6-1 6-4).
Alexander Ritschard and Marco Trungelliti meet in the semifinal at Lisbon on Saturday. Marco Trungelliti has won 7 of the last 10. Alexander Ritschard is 6-4 across recent matches.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Ritschard comes in off a compressed schedule; Trungelliti comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Trungelliti fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Ritschard | Marco Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.8% | 59.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.9% | 67.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 48.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.