Thursday's Jinan round of 16 pits Alexander Shevchenko against Dylan Hara Friend Jay on hard. Alexander Shevchenko comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Dylan Hara Friend Jay has won 7 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shevchenko is exactly that — a lean.