Jinan · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 15, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Alexander Shevchenko vs Dylan Hara Friend Jay — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 15, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alexander Shevchenko won 6-0 6-4
Nailed it. We had Alexander Shevchenko at 50% before the match, and Alexander Shevchenko won 6-0 6-4.
Thursday's Jinan round of 16 pits Alexander Shevchenko against Dylan Hara Friend Jay on hard. Alexander Shevchenko comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Dylan Hara Friend Jay has won 7 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shevchenko is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alexander Shevchenko
1714
Dylan Hara Friend Jay
1716
Overall rating
Alexander Shevchenko
1754
Dylan Hara Friend Jay
1721
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alexander Shevchenko
Dylan Hara Friend Jay
1st serve in
59.8%
62.6%
1st serve points won
69.4%
70%
2nd serve points won
50.2%
52.3%
Form
Alexander Shevchenko
4–6
Dylan Hara Friend Jay
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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