Thursday's Chengdu round of 32 pits Alexander Shevchenko against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alexander Shevchenko has won 4 of the last 10.

Hurkacz's 75.9% behind the first serve (against 69.4% for Shevchenko) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hurkacz.