A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexander Shevchenko goes up against Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan quarterfinal. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Alexander Shevchenko has won 4 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Shevchenko comes in off a compressed schedule; Bellucci comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bellucci is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Shevchenko | Mattia Bellucci |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.8% | 60.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.4% | 70.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.2% | 51.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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