Thursday's Beijing round of 32 pits Alexander Zverev against Cameron Norrie on hard. Alexander Zverev is 9-1 across recent matches. Cameron Norrie is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 73.7% versus 68.4% on first-serve points in Zverev's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zverev.