Cincinnati · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 16, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC

Alexander Zverev vs. Cameron Norrie — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 16, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Alexander Zverev won 3-6 6-3 6-3

Nailed it. We had Alexander Zverev at 71% before the match, and Alexander Zverev won 3-6 6-3 6-3.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alexander Zverev goes up against Cameron Norrie in the Cincinnati round of 64. Alexander Zverev is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (7 of the last 10). Cameron Norrie is 7-3 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Zverev has been winning 73.3% of first-serve points to Norrie's 68.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Zverev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Alexander Zverev

2050

Cameron Norrie

1884

Overall rating

Alexander Zverev

2148

Cameron Norrie

1901

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alexander Zverev	Cameron Norrie
1st serve in	68.3%	65.5%
1st serve points won	73.3%	68.4%
2nd serve points won	47.2%	50%

Form

Alexander Zverev

7–3

Cameron Norrie

7–3

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie at Cincinnati?: Alexander Zverev won 3-6 6-3 6-3.
Was the Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Alexander Zverev at 71% before the match, and Alexander Zverev won 3-6 6-3 6-3.