Tuesday's US Open round of 16 pits Alexander Zverev against Luciano Darderi on hard. Alexander Zverev has won 7 of the last 10. Luciano Darderi is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Hold strength tells the story — 73.7% versus 69.8% on first-serve points in Zverev's favor. Anything other than a Zverev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Zverev | Luciano Darderi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 68.3% | 58.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 73.7% | 69.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.2% | 51.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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