Shanghai · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 11, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 11, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alexander Zverev goes up against Quentin Halys in the Shanghai round of 32. Alexander Zverev is 8-2 across recent matches. Quentin Halys is 4-6 across recent matches.
Alexander Zverev is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zverev around 80%. Anything other than a Zverev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-388(79.5% Zverev)
Market-534(84.2% Zverev)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alexander Zverev
2071
Quentin Halys
1746
Overall rating
Alexander Zverev
2156
Quentin Halys
1866
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alexander Zverev
Quentin Halys
1st serve in
68.3%
58.4%
1st serve points won
73.7%
77.4%
2nd serve points won
47.2%
46.4%
Form
Alexander Zverev
8–2
Quentin Halys
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys?
Maiden gives Alexander Zverev a 80% chance to beat Quentin Halys in the Shanghai round of 32 on October 11, 2026.
How confident is the Alexander Zverev pick?
80% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 80%, picks in that range have won 74% of the time (53 so far). See the track record page for the full table.