Wednesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Alexander Zverev against Tallon Griekspoor on hard. Alexander Zverev has won 8 of the last 10. Tallon Griekspoor is 4-6 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zverev.