Tommy Paul won 4-6 7-6 6-4
A miss: Alexander Zverev at 65% lost to Tommy Paul (4-6 7-6 6-4).
Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul meet in the round of 16 at Cincinnati on Wednesday. Alexander Zverev has won 7 of the last 10. Tommy Paul comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Zverev has been winning 73.3% of first-serve points to Paul's 69.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zverev.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Zverev | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 68.3% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 73.3% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.2% | 51.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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