A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alexandra Eala goes up against Alycia Parks in the Toronto round of 64. Alexandra Eala is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Alycia Parks has won 5 of the last 10.

Alexandra Eala simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Eala.