A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alexandra Eala goes up against Caty Mcnally in the Toronto round of 32. Alexandra Eala has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Caty Mcnally comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Eala.