Monday's Wimbledon round of 16 pits Alexandra Eala against Jasmine Paolini on grass. Alexandra Eala is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Jasmine Paolini has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Alexandra Eala leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule; Paolini comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Eala gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexandra Eala | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.9% | 67.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 59.1% | 60.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.5% | 48.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.