Alexandra Eala and Leylah Fernandez meet in the round of 16 at Washington on Wednesday. Leylah Fernandez is 4-6 across recent matches. Alexandra Eala comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Fernandez has been winning 64.8% of first-serve points to Eala's 60.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fernandez fractionally more likely to land the big points.