Alexandra Eala won 6-4 6-2
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 62% on Naomi Osaka; Alexandra Eala won 6-4 6-2.
Saturday's Washington semifinal pits Alexandra Eala against Naomi Osaka on hard. Naomi Osaka is 9-1 across recent matches. Alexandra Eala is 7-3 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 60.3% on first-serve points in Osaka's favor. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule; Osaka comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexandra Eala | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.9% | 58.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.3% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.4% | 46.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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