Alexandre Muller and Federico Cina meet in the round of 16 at Chengdu on Saturday. Alexandre Muller comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Federico Cina has won 2 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Muller is exactly that — a lean.