San Marino · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 31, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Alexandre Muller vs. Mili Poljicak — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 31, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Mili Poljicak won 7-6 6-7 7-5

Nailed it. We had Mili Poljicak at 50% before the match, and Mili Poljicak won 7-6 6-7 7-5.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexandre Muller goes up against Mili Poljicak in the San Marino quarterfinal. Mili Poljicak has won 6 of the last 10. Alexandre Muller has won 2 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Poljicak has been winning 70.4% of first-serve points to Muller's 67.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Poljicak gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alexandre Muller

1684

Mili Poljicak

1656

Overall rating

Alexandre Muller

1692

Mili Poljicak

1674

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alexandre Muller	Mili Poljicak
1st serve in	65.5%	56.6%
1st serve points won	67.2%	70.4%
2nd serve points won	49.9%	48.9%

Form

Alexandre Muller

2–8

Mili Poljicak

6–4

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak at San Marino?: Mili Poljicak won 7-6 6-7 7-5.
Was the Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Mili Poljicak at 50% before the match, and Mili Poljicak won 7-6 6-7 7-5.