Montreal · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 4, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 4, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alexei Popyrin won 4-6 7-5 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Alexei Popyrin, who won 4-6 7-5 6-3.
Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Alexei Popyrin against Roman Andres Burruchaga on hard. Alexei Popyrin is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (4 of the last 10). Roman Andres Burruchaga comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Popyrin's 74.5% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Burruchaga) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Popyrin fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alexei Popyrin
1702
Roman Andres Burruchaga
1507
Overall rating
Alexei Popyrin
1785
Roman Andres Burruchaga
1772
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alexei Popyrin
Roman Andres Burruchaga
1st serve in
61.9%
61.3%
1st serve points won
74.5%
65.5%
2nd serve points won
48%
48.3%
Form
Alexei Popyrin
4–6
Roman Andres Burruchaga
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga at Montreal?
Alexei Popyrin won 4-6 7-5 6-3.
Was the Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Alexei Popyrin, who won 4-6 7-5 6-3.