Montreal · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 8, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC
Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 8, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Thiago Agustin Tirante won 6-3 6-4
Nailed it. We had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 57% before the match, and Thiago Agustin Tirante won 6-3 6-4.
Alexei Popyrin and Thiago Agustin Tirante meet in the round of 32 at Montreal on Saturday. Thiago Agustin Tirante is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Alexei Popyrin is 4-6 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tirante fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alexei Popyrin
1702
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1797
Overall rating
Alexei Popyrin
1785
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1899
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alexei Popyrin
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1st serve in
61.9%
61.4%
1st serve points won
74.5%
69.8%
2nd serve points won
48%
52.3%
Form
Alexei Popyrin
4–6
Thiago Agustin Tirante
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at Montreal?
Thiago Agustin Tirante won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction correct?
Nailed it. We had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 57% before the match, and Thiago Agustin Tirante won 6-3 6-4.