It all comes down to Sunday at Stuttgart, where Alexis Galarneau faces Roman Safiullin for the trophy. Roman Safiullin has won 4 of the last 10. Alexis Galarneau is 4-6 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The serve is where this match separates: Safiullin has been winning 72.7% of first-serve points to Galarneau's 63.4%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Galarneau comes in off a compressed schedule; Safiullin comes in off a compressed schedule. If Safiullin plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.