A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Aliaksandra Sasnovich goes up against Daria Kasatkina in the Ningbo round of 32. Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 5-5 across recent matches. Daria Kasatkina has dropped 6 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sasnovich is exactly that — a lean.