Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Diana Shnaider meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10. Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Diana Shnaider is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shnaider around 73%. Sasnovich comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Shnaider win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.