Tokyo · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 28, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 28, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share result
Result
✓ Pick right
Diana Shnaider won 6-3 5-7 6-3
We got this one right. Diana Shnaider was our 73% pick, and won 6-3 5-7 6-3.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Diana Shnaider meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10. Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Diana Shnaider is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shnaider around 73%. Sasnovich comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Shnaider win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1714
Diana Shnaider
1927
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1738
Diana Shnaider
1982
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Diana Shnaider
1st serve in
65%
63.3%
1st serve points won
60.6%
62.5%
2nd serve points won
44.8%
47.2%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
5–5
Diana Shnaider
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider at Tokyo?
Diana Shnaider won 6-3 5-7 6-3.
Was the Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider prediction correct?
We got this one right. Diana Shnaider was our 73% pick, and won 6-3 5-7 6-3.