Beijing · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 2, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Ekaterina Alexandrova won 6-1 6-4
We got this one right. Ekaterina Alexandrova was our 62% pick, and won 6-1 6-4.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Ekaterina Alexandrova meet in the round of 64 at Beijing on Friday. Ekaterina Alexandrova is 6-4 across recent matches. Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 4-6 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Alexandrova has been winning 67.1% of first-serve points to Sasnovich's 60.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Alexandrova should have enough here, though Sasnovich has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1701
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1796
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1722
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1841
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1st serve in
65.1%
58.9%
1st serve points won
60.5%
67.1%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
43%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4–6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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