Suzhou · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 9, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 9, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Elvina Kalieva won 6-3 7-6(8)
Missed it. We had Aliaksandra Sasnovich at 73%, but Elvina Kalieva won 6-3 7-6(8).
Friday's Suzhou quarterfinal pits Aliaksandra Sasnovich against Elvina Kalieva on hard. Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 6 of the last 10. Elvina Kalieva is 2-8 across recent matches.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sasnovich around 73%. Kalieva comes in off a compressed schedule. Kalieva needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1705
Elvina Kalieva
1467
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1724
Elvina Kalieva
1533
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Elvina Kalieva
1st serve in
65.1%
55.3%
1st serve points won
60.5%
64%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
45.1%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
6–4
Elvina Kalieva
2–8
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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