Ningbo · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 21, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Leylah Fernandez — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 21, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Leylah Fernandez won 7-5 6-7 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 62% on Leylah Fernandez, who won 7-5 6-7 6-3.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Leylah Fernandez meet in the round of 16 at Ningbo on Wednesday. Leylah Fernandez has won 7 of the last 10. Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Fernandez's 64.8% behind the first serve (against 60.5% for Sasnovich) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Fernandez should have enough here, though Sasnovich has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1714
Leylah Fernandez
1880
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1738
Leylah Fernandez
1899
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Leylah Fernandez
1st serve in
65.1%
61.8%
1st serve points won
60.5%
64.8%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
46.2%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
5–5
Leylah Fernandez
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Leylah Fernandez at Ningbo?
Leylah Fernandez won 7-5 6-7 6-3.
Was the Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Leylah Fernandez prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 62% on Leylah Fernandez, who won 7-5 6-7 6-3.