Tokyo · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 27, 2026, 5:30 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 27, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-4 6-7 6-3
Missed it. We had Nikola Bartunkova at 68%, but Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-4 6-7 6-3.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Nikola Bartunkova meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Tuesday. Nikola Bartunkova is 7-3 across recent matches. Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Bartunkova has been winning 69.1% of first-serve points to Sasnovich's 60.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bartunkova.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1714
Nikola Bartunkova
1847
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1738
Nikola Bartunkova
1937
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Nikola Bartunkova
1st serve in
65%
53%
1st serve points won
60.6%
69.1%
2nd serve points won
44.8%
46.6%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
5–5
Nikola Bartunkova
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova at Tokyo?
Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-4 6-7 6-3.
Was the Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova prediction correct?
Missed it. We had Nikola Bartunkova at 68%, but Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-4 6-7 6-3.