Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Nikola Bartunkova meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Tuesday. Nikola Bartunkova is 7-3 across recent matches. Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Bartunkova has been winning 69.1% of first-serve points to Sasnovich's 60.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bartunkova.