Beijing · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 30, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Talia Gibson — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 30, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-1 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Talia Gibson; Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-1 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Aliaksandra Sasnovich goes up against Talia Gibson in the Beijing first round. Talia Gibson has won 5 of the last 10. Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 3-7 across recent matches.
Gibson's 64.4% behind the first serve (against 60.5% for Sasnovich) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gibson is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1701
Talia Gibson
1736
Overall rating
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1722
Talia Gibson
1689
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Talia Gibson
1st serve in
65.1%
60.6%
1st serve points won
60.5%
64.4%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
45.1%
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
3–7
Talia Gibson
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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