Alice Tubello and Donna Vekic meet in the first round at French Open on Tuesday. Donna Vekic is 6-4 across recent matches. Alice Tubello has won 1 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Donna Vekic, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Alice Tubello. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Vekic — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Vekic has been winning 68.6% of first-serve points to Tubello's 64.4%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Vekic is exactly that — a lean.