Friday's Sao Paulo quarterfinal pits Alina Charaeva against Anna Blinkova on hard. Anna Blinkova is 6-4 across recent matches. Alina Charaeva has won 5 of the last 10.

Anna Blinkova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Blinkova fractionally more likely to land the big points.