Alina Charaeva won 6-2 6-3
A miss: Elina Avanesyan at 54% lost to Alina Charaeva (6-2 6-3).
Thursday's Sao Paulo round of 16 pits Alina Charaeva against Elina Avanesyan on hard. Elina Avanesyan has won 6 of the last 10. Alina Charaeva limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
Elina Avanesyan is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Avanesyan around 54%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Avanesyan fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alina Charaeva | Elina Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.9% | 69.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.6% | 57.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.1% | 42.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.