Alina Charaeva won 1-6 6-2 6-3
Nailed it. We had Alina Charaeva at 54% before the match, and Alina Charaeva won 1-6 6-2 6-3.
Alina Charaeva and Gabriela Andrea Knutson meet in the round of 16 at Courmayeur (Italy) on Wednesday. Alina Charaeva is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Gabriela Andrea Knutson is 8-2 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Charaeva fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alina Charaeva | Gabriela Andrea Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 59.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.3% | 65.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 42.5% | 42.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.