Alina Charaeva won 3-6 7-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Sofia Kenin; Alina Charaeva won 3-6 7-6 6-4.
Tuesday's Seoul round of 32 pits Alina Charaeva against Sofia Kenin on hard. Sofia Kenin comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Alina Charaeva has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kenin is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alina Charaeva | Sofia Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.9% | 65.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.2% | 63.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.3% | 45.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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