Alina Charaeva and Yuliia Starodubtseva meet in the first round at Beijing on Thursday. Yuliia Starodubtseva is 4-6 across recent matches. Alina Charaeva comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Starodubtseva fractionally more likely to land the big points.