Thursday's Monterrey round of 16 pits Alycia Parks against Maja Chwalinska on hard. Maja Chwalinska is 6-4 across recent matches. Alycia Parks limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Maja Chwalinska simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Chwalinska is exactly that — a lean.