US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 31, 2026, 6:25 PM UTC
Amanda Anisimova vs. Ashlyn Krueger — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Amanda Anisimova goes up against Ashlyn Krueger in the US Open first round. Amanda Anisimova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Ashlyn Krueger comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Anisimova.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-181(64.4% Anisimova)
Market-492(83.1% Anisimova)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Amanda Anisimova
1991
Ashlyn Krueger
1675
Overall rating
Amanda Anisimova
2024
Ashlyn Krueger
1791
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Amanda Anisimova
Ashlyn Krueger
1st serve in
65.2%
63.3%
1st serve points won
61.4%
63.7%
2nd serve points won
46.9%
42.1%
Form
Amanda Anisimova
6–4
Ashlyn Krueger
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Amanda Anisimova vs Ashlyn Krueger?
Maiden gives Amanda Anisimova a 64% chance to beat Ashlyn Krueger in the US Open first round on August 31, 2026.
How confident is the Amanda Anisimova pick?
64% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 64%, picks in that range have won 64% of the time (104 so far). See the track record page for the full table.