Amanda Anisimova and Jessica Pegula meet in the quarterfinal at Cincinnati on Thursday. Jessica Pegula is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Amanda Anisimova is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 57%. Anisimova comes in off a compressed schedule; Pegula comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Pegula gets the nod on the finest of margins.