A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Anastasia Gasanova goes up against Carole Monnet in the Ankara (Turkey) round of 16. Anastasia Gasanova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Carole Monnet has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Anastasia Gasanova is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gasanova around 63%. The edge belongs to Gasanova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.