Friday's Toronto round of 32 pits Anastasia Potapova against Elina Svitolina on hard. Elina Svitolina comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Anastasia Potapova has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Svitolina.