Monday's US Open round of 16 pits Anastasia Potapova against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Anastasia Potapova is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Andreeva around 70%. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.