Monterrey · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 26, 2026, 3:35 AM UTC · Cancelled
Anastasia Potapova vs. Nikola Bartunkova — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 26, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Anastasia Potapova and Nikola Bartunkova meet in the round of 16 at Monterrey on Wednesday. Nikola Bartunkova has won 6 of the last 10. Anastasia Potapova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 67.9% versus 63.8% on first-serve points in Bartunkova's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bartunkova fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-112(52.9% Bartunkova)
Market-179(64.2% Bartunkova)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Anastasia Potapova
1720
Nikola Bartunkova
1781
Overall rating
Anastasia Potapova
1890
Nikola Bartunkova
1876
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Anastasia Potapova
Nikola Bartunkova
1st serve in
56.3%
53.5%
1st serve points won
63.8%
67.9%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
45.3%
Form
Anastasia Potapova
5–5
Nikola Bartunkova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Maiden gives Nikola Bartunkova a 53% chance to beat Anastasia Potapova in the Monterrey round of 16 on August 26, 2026.
How confident is the Nikola Bartunkova pick?
53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 60% of the time (112 so far). See the track record page for the full table.