Friday's Beijing round of 64 pits Anastasia Potapova against Sinja Kraus on hard. Anastasia Potapova has won 5 of the last 10. Sinja Kraus comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Potapova has been winning 63.8% of first-serve points to Kraus's 58.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Potapova.