US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 1, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC · Cancelled
Anastasia Potapova vs Tereza Valentova — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 1, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share pick
Anastasia Potapova and Tereza Valentova meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Tereza Valentova is 6-4 across recent matches. Anastasia Potapova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Valentova is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-108(51.9% Valentova)
Market-190(65.5% Valentova)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Anastasia Potapova
1751
Tereza Valentova
1778
Overall rating
Anastasia Potapova
1909
Tereza Valentova
1811
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Anastasia Potapova
Tereza Valentova
1st serve in
56.3%
61%
1st serve points won
63.8%
63.3%
2nd serve points won
44.7%
46%
Form
Anastasia Potapova
5–5
Tereza Valentova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Anastasia Potapova vs Tereza Valentova?
Maiden gives Tereza Valentova a 52% chance to beat Anastasia Potapova in the US Open first round on September 1, 2026.
How confident is the Tereza Valentova pick?
52% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 52%, picks in that range have won 55% of the time (192 so far). See the track record page for the full table.