A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Andre Ilagan goes up against Colton Smith in the Lincoln round of 32. Colton Smith comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Andre Ilagan has won 6 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Colton Smith, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Andre Ilagan. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Smith — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Smith fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andre Ilagan | Colton Smith |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.9% | 62.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.8% | 68.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 49% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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