Lincoln · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 14, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC

Andre Ilagan vs. Colton Smith — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Colton Smith won 4-6 6-3 7-6 · Jul 14, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC

Nailed it. We had Colton Smith at 54% before the match, and Colton Smith won 4-6 6-3 7-6.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Andre Ilagan goes up against Colton Smith in the Lincoln round of 32. Colton Smith comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Andre Ilagan has won 6 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Colton Smith, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Andre Ilagan. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Smith — worth more than the overall number this week.

Colton Smith is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Smith around 54%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Smith fractionally more likely to land the big points.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Andre Ilagan

1563

Colton Smith

1686

Overall rating

Andre Ilagan

1577

Colton Smith

1664

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Andre Ilagan	Colton Smith
1st serve in	64.9%	62.7%
1st serve points won	65.8%	68.2%
2nd serve points won	50%	49%

Form

Andre Ilagan

6–4

Colton Smith

7–3

Head to head

Colton Smith leads the head-to-head 1-0. On hard: 1-0 Colton Smith.

Full Ilagan vs Smith history →

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Andre Ilagan vs Colton Smith at Lincoln?: Colton Smith won 4-6 6-3 7-6.
Was the Andre Ilagan vs Colton Smith prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Colton Smith at 54% before the match, and Colton Smith won 4-6 6-3 7-6.
What is the head-to-head record between Andre Ilagan and Colton Smith?: Colton Smith leads the head-to-head 1-0. On hard: 1-0 Colton Smith.