Andre Ilagan won 6-2 7-6
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 68% on Marat Sharipov; Andre Ilagan won 6-2 7-6.
Andre Ilagan and Marat Sharipov meet in the round of 16 at Jingshan on Thursday. Marat Sharipov brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Andre Ilagan comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Sharipov's 76.8% behind the first serve (against 64.2% for Ilagan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Sharipov comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sharipov.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andre Ilagan | Marat Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.6% | 58.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.2% | 76.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 49.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.