A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Andre Ilagan goes up against Yosuke Watanuki in the Winnipeg round of 32. Yosuke Watanuki is 6-4 across recent matches. Andre Ilagan limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Yosuke Watanuki has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Andre Ilagan. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Watanuki — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Watanuki has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Ilagan's 65.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Watanuki should have enough here, though Ilagan has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.