August Holmgren won 7-5 6-1
A miss: Andrea Guerrieri at 55% lost to August Holmgren (7-5 6-1).
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Andrea Guerrieri goes up against August Holmgren in the Porto round of 16. Andrea Guerrieri is 6-4 across recent matches. August Holmgren has won 5 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Guerrieri fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Guerrieri | August Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.6% | 63.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.3% | 72.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.2% | 51.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.