Andrea Guerrieri and Francesco Maestrelli meet in the round of 32 at St. Tropez on Monday. Andrea Guerrieri has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Francesco Maestrelli has won 5 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Guerrieri is exactly that — a lean.