Maks Kasnikowski won 6-3 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Andrea Guerrieri; Maks Kasnikowski won 6-3 6-4.
Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski meet in the round of 16 at Olbia on Wednesday. Andrea Guerrieri is 6-4 across recent matches. Maks Kasnikowski is 5-5 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Guerrieri is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Guerrieri | Maks Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.4% | 59.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.3% | 68.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.8% | 47.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.